Victorian State Election 2022

[Jezza]

Newspoll:

PRIMARY
- Labor = 38%
- Coalition = 35%
- Greens = 12%
- Other = 15%

TWO-PARTY PREFERRED
- Labor = 54.5%
- Coalition = 45.5%

If the poll is accurate, Labor will retain majority with 45 to 50 seats.

[Jezza]

REVISED.

Seats to watch:

Labor vs Coalition

[*] Ashwood
[*] Bayswater
[*] Ringwood
[*] Ripon
[*] Monbulk
[*] Morwell (held by independent, but the incumbent is retiring)
[*] Pakenham
[*] South Barwon
[*] Hastings
[*] Box Hill
[*] Glen Waverley
[*] Bass
[*] Nepean
[*] Cranbourne
[*] Narre Warren North
[*] Croydon
[*] Sandringham
[*] Yan Yean


Labor vs Greens

[*] Albert Park
[*] Northcote
[*] Richmond
[*] Pascoe Vale
[*] Prahran


Labor vs Independent

[*] Melton
[*] Point Cook
[*] Werribee
[*] Mulgrave (Daniel Andrews' seat)


Coalition vs Teals

[*] Brighton
[*] Caulfield (three-way contest between the Coalition, Teal and Labor)
[*] Hawthorn (currently held by Labor, but not expected to retain)
[*] Kew
[*] Mornington


Coalition vs Independent

[*] Benambra
[*] Mildura
[*] Shepparton

[David]

Just finished work, and realllly regretting agreeing to hand out how-to-vote cards at 8am tomorrow

[Jezza]

Think Labor narrowly gets a majority.

Obviously hoping for a tighter result and a repudiation of Andrews.

[stui magpie]

The wash up will be interesting, however it plays out.

I don't believe the polls, this could go anywhere, but my fondest hope is that Andrews loses his own seat.

[David]

Think Labor narrowly gets a majority.

Obviously hoping for a tighter result and a repudiation of Andrews.

I've got some money on a hung parliament, so fingers crossed!

[Pies4shaw]

Threepeat Dan the Man is just about to claim victory (or announce a fresh lockdown). He’s governing with a comfortable majority.

[Morrigu]

The wash up will be interesting, however it plays out.

I don't believe the polls, this could go anywhere, but my fondest hope is that Andrews loses his own seat.

Oh never mind - suck it up princess! Woo hoo!!!!!!

[think positive]

Gees he shit it in!
Probably deserves it then!

[Pies4shaw]

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-11-27/ ... /101703068

Victorian Labor Premier Daniel Andrews has secured a third term of majority government in an emphatic victory which delivered an electoral disaster to the Liberal Party.

The ABC has projected Labor will win more than 45 seats, and could come close to the 55-seat majority it enjoyed during its second term in power.

Addressing the Labor faithful on Saturday night, Mr Andrews declared that "hope always defeats hate" and suggested critics who accused him of dividing the state during his government's controversial handling of the COVID-19 pandemic had been proven wrong.

"We were instead united in our faith in science and in our faith and care for and in each other," he said.

....

Monash University senior politics lecturer Zareh Ghazarian said the result was a clear "vindication" of the Andrews's government.

"Voters have resoundingly given his government the thumbs up for not only the future agenda that they promoted during the campaign and before the campaign but also in terms of the way in which the pandemic was managed," Dr Ghazarian said.

[What'sinaname]

^ what time did you get home from the celebrations?

[lazzadesilva]

Some of us are still celebrating

[Pies4shaw]

^ what time did you get home from the celebrations?

I've said it before - but I'll say it again. I'm not (and have never been) a member of any political party and it has been about a quarter of a century since I voted for the ALP.

It's still a very funny result, though. The Liberal Party is a kind of slapstick for the modern age. Hence: https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-11-27/ ... /101703320

[Pies4shaw]

The ALP has already won 50 seats. There are 8 seats in doubt (plus Narracan, where voting did not proceed and a fresh election will be required). The ALP is leading in 6 of those 8 seats, so there is a real prospect Andrews has been returned with an increased majority.

Enjoy!

[David]

A little disappointed the Greens didn’t win more (at some point last night it looked like they might have increased their lower house numbers from 3 to as many as 8, but at this stage it’s looking more likely they’ll end up on 4). Main interest now will be the legislative council. Things are looking somewhat encouraging on that front: https://amp.abc.net.au/article/101703326