Victorian State Election 2022

[Jezza]

RedBridge poll published on Monday:

PRIMARY
- Labor = 38%
- Coalition = 38%
- Greens = 14%
- Other = 14%

TWO-PARTY PREFERRED
- Labor = 53.5%
- Coalition = 46.5%

[Pies4shaw]

https://www.theage.com.au/politics/vict ... 5bzm6.html

The Liberal Party’s candidate for Narre Warren North says Australia should not recognise First Nations people because “we won this land fair and square”, that waste from nuclear energy should be dumped in Alice Springs, and that he would vote to ban abortion.

Timothy Dragan last week railed against Aboriginal recognition, climate change, abortion and senior Liberal MP Brad Battin, who he described as a “prick”.

That should help them win the election. Everyone loves a stable candidate.

Pardon me for asking - but in what sense is he using the word "we"?

[stui magpie]

FFS, bring on Saturday, I'm over it, the fkn blatant lies in election ads shouldn't be legal. I won't be hanging around for another 3 years of Dandrews, Victoria deserves much better but at the moment the options are slim.

If Dandrews doesn't lose his seat, best case is a parliament stacked with independent fruit loops that block his every move and frustrates the shit out of him. The state is $@&^# whatever happens, back to the days of Cain and Kirner.

[What'sinaname]

https://www.theage.com.au/politics/victoria/bloody-aboriginal-liberal-candidate-rails-against-indigenous-people-abortion-and-climate-change-20221119-p5bzm6.html

The Liberal Party’s candidate for Narre Warren North says Australia should not recognise First Nations people because “we won this land fair and square”, that waste from nuclear energy should be dumped in Alice Springs, and that he would vote to ban abortion.

Timothy Dragan last week railed against Aboriginal recognition, climate change, abortion and senior Liberal MP Brad Battin, who he described as a “prick”.

That should help them win the election. Everyone loves a stable candidate.

Pardon me for asking - but in what sense is he using the word "we"?

Kill one man, and you are a murderer. Kill millions of men, and you are a conqueror. Kill them all, and you are a god.

[David]

[Dark Beanie]

Depends on who has the balance of power.

Both major parties appear to be as bad as each other.
And so many nufties with only one policy running.

There may be some good people that end up in parliament but they will get lost amongst all the dross.

[David]

Definitely. Can't help but feel that accountability/negotiation of any kind would be better than none, but who that is will make a big difference. Hopefully some sensible people get in one way or another.

[eddiesmith]

Yet unfortunately instead of sensible people we’ll probably get more Greens.

[Presti35]

Cant vote Matthew Guy incase related to Ned Guy. Sorry.

[David]

Yet unfortunately instead of sensible people we’ll probably get more Greens.

We should be so lucky!

[Jezza]

Cant vote Matthew Guy incase related to Ned Guy. Sorry.

I'd vote for Ned Guy over Daniel Andrews

[Jezza]

Resolve Strategic poll published in The Age this morning:

PRIMARY
- Labor = 36%
- Coalition = 36%
- Greens = 10%
- Other = 18%

TWO-PARTY PREFERRED
- Labor = 53%
- Coalition = 47%

If this poll is accurate, it would have Labor winning 43-47 seats. They need 45 to form majority government.

https://www.theage.com.au/politics/vict ... 5bzxv.html

[nomadjack]

I've got Labor dropping a maximum of 11 seats (including re-distributed seats that are now nominally Labor). This includes Northcote to the Greens and potentially Melton to an Independent. This will leave them on 45. The Libs are currently un-electable, but at least this would make it a contest next time around which is critical as far as I'm concerned.

[stui magpie]

The Libs are basically unelectable, but the choice is 3 more years of Andrews and the pendulum seems to be swinging away from Labor.

Labor is still in the box seat but I keep eding comparisons between Kennet and Andrews and how arrogance turned the tide. See what hppens.

[Jezza]

Roy Morgan SMS poll released on Wednesday night:

PRIMARY
- Labor = 38%
- Coalition = 32.5%
- Greens = 12.5%
- Other = 17%

TWO-PARTY PREFERRED
- Labor = 55%
- Coalition = 45%

Finał Newspoll to be released tonight at around 10pm.