Biden presidency and 2024 election campaign

[David]

The New York Times needle is up and running and leaning ever so slightly towards Trump.

[Jezza]

The New York Times needle is up and running and leaning ever so slightly towards Trump.

I can never find it when I'm browsing the site because of the paywall.

Edit: I saw the link, but I'm paywalled.

[David]

I think you should be able to get past it with a free account – that's how I'm seeing it (at least, I hope they're not still billing me haha)

In any case, it's visible on the home page.

[Jezza]

Went on the home page, but still had the same issue.

[Jezza]

Trump wins South Carolina (9)

Harris 27-99 Trump.

[David]

New York Times estimates are currently running similarly to the polling – Trump +2.3% in Georgia, +1.3% in North Carolina, +0.2% in Pennsylvania. It's the last one that would sink Harris if she can't claw that back.

[Skids]

$1.31 , the shortest we've seen Trump.
$3.40 for Harris

[Jezza]

Trump wins Arkansas (6)

Harris 27-105 Trump

[Skids]

Shortens further, now $1.25, Harris $3.75.

Georgia and Virginia look sewn up.

[Jezza]

Shortens further, now $1.25, Harris $3.75.

Georgia and Virginia look sewn up.

Virginia still leans blue in my opinion. The DC suburbs should get her over the line.

If Trump wins Virginia, we're heading for landslide territory.

[Jezza]

Trump wins Texas (40), North Dakota (3), South Dakota (3), Wyoming (3)

Harris 27-154 Trump.

[Jezza]

Harris wins Delaware (3)

Harris 30-154 Trump.

[Jezza]

NYT says Georgia and North Carolina are leaning Republican.

[David]

Also giving Trump a 66% chance of winning overall now.

[Jezza]

Harris wins Illinois (19), Rhode Island (4)

Harris 53-154 Trump.