Victorian State Election 2022

[David]

[stui magpie]

^

Bet ya $50 he's gone in disgrace well before the next election.

You’ll need to define disgrace. Herald sun definition? sky news definition? The Australian definition?

Make the terms clear and then we can negotiate what the definition of disgrace means. Robodebt? 5 secret ministries?

Disgrace. Google it. He resigns from being premier and leaves politics immediately triggering a by election. Specific enough?

[Jezza]

State politics creeps me out, but am I right in reading Andrews just won again?

Andrews and his government have been re-elected by a majority for a 3rd term.

[watt price tully]

^

Bet ya $50 he's gone in disgrace well before the next election.

You’ll need to define disgrace. Herald sun definition? sky news definition? The Australian definition?

Make the terms clear and then we can negotiate what the definition of disgrace means. Robodebt? 5 secret ministries?

Disgrace. Google it. He resigns from being premier and leaves politics immediately triggering a by election. Specific enough?

You’ve avoided my question. He may resign and your mates in the Murdoch press will say it’s a disgrace whereas a rational analysis may suggest that other reasons are at play. It’s not as simple as you seem to think it is. I thought Scotty from Marketing was a disgrace well before the secret ministries but you if I recall correctly you thought the mounting examples of ministerial Culpability (unaccountability) were unremarkable.

[Jezza]

Lower House update.

Seats (81.1% counted)

Labor = 52
Coalition = 27
Greens = 4
Other = 0

Primary Vote: (81.1% counted)

Labor = 37.1% (-5.8]
Coalition = 34.7% (-0.5)
Greens = 11.3% (+0.6)
Other = 16.9% (+5.7)

Two Party Preferred: (81.1% counted)

Labor = 54.4% (-2.9)
Coalition = 45.6% (+2.9)

Seats gained and lost:

Labor gains Glen Waverley, Ripon and Hastings.
Labor lost Hawthorn, Richmond and Nepean.

Coalition gains Nepean, Shepparton, Morwell, Hawthorn and Mildura.
Coalition lost Glen Waverley, Ripon and Hastings.

Greens gain Richmond.
Greens have no losses.

Independents have no gains.
Independents lost Mildura, Morwell and Shepparton.

Seats in Doubt:

Bass = Labor 50.2 - 49.8 Coalition - (87.3% counted)
Northcote = Labor 50.7 - 49.3 Greens - (84.9% counted)
Pakenham = Coalition 50.0 - 50.0 Labor - (83.8% counted)
Preston = Labor 50.9 - 49.1 Independent - (81.1% counted)

Coalition leads in Pakenham by 6 votes.

Northcote has returned to the "in doubt" category despite the Greens conceding on Thursday.

[stui magpie]

Ducking, dodging, weaving,

Put your money where your mouth is.

[watt price tully]

I’m off to bed; I’ll look at this another time. Big day (last day) of the ride and I hope to be up at 04:50 tomorrow

[watt price tully]

Ducking, dodging, weaving,

Put your money where your mouth is.

Just tell me what the steps say in Dan’s holiday house as a source of all things rational and unbiased

[Jezza]

How the new Legislative Council (Upper House) may look if results don't change from now.

Labor = 15
Coalition = 13
Legalise Cannabis = 3
Greens = 2
Derryn Hinch's Justice = 1
Liberal Democrats = 1
Animal Justice = 1
Shooters, Fishers and Farmers = 1
Transport Matters = 1
Labour DLP = 1
One Nation = 1

I'm simplifying this, but splitting it along the left-right paradigm, I see it as:
22 on the left (Labor 15, Legalise Cannabis 3, Greens 2, Animal Justice 1, Transport Matters 1); and
18 on the right (Coalition 13, Justice 1, Lib Dems 1, Shooters 1, Labour DLP 1, One Nation 1).

[stui magpie]

Ducking, dodging, weaving,

Put your money where your mouth is.

Just tell me what the steps say in Dan’s holiday house as a source of all things rational and unbiased

[Pies4shaw]

Coalition leads in Pakenham by 6 votes.

On latest figures this evening, the ALP is back to a 13 vote lead. I don't think there's much merit in saying anything at all about Pakenham until they finish counting and then have done a recount.

[David]

[watt price tully]

David Limbrick of so called LD lost SE in the LC is wonderful news. Another anti vaxxer posing as not. Marvellous result.

[David]

Apparently the results for Northcote and Preston (currently predicted Labor wins, but with close challenges by the Greens and an independent respectively) are due tomorrow, with most or all of the other close lower-house counts to be finalised by Thursday. I believe the LC results are due next week.

[David]

Labor have officially won Northcote by 184 votes.