After further counting today, the ABC has called Hastings for the ALP and Mornington for the Libs, both as expected. So, the running tally is now-Pies4shaw wrote:Update after counting today. Decided: ALP 52, Greens 4, LNP 26. In doubt: 3 likely ALP (Bass, Hastings and Preston), 1 likely LNP (Mornington), 1 on an actual knife-edge (Pakenham - Libs leading by 5 votes, 80.1% counted) and Narracan needs a fresh election.
So, it's looking like ALP 55 or 56, Greens 4, LNP 27 or 28 before the Narracan election. The LNP (or possibly a conservative independent) will win Narracan, so it looks likely that the Assembly will see the ALP with either the same majority as before the election or one additional seat, plus the presence of 4 Greens. It certainly appeatrs as if, despite everything, the progressive numbers in the Assembly will have increased by either 1 or 2 since the 2018 election.
Decided: ALP 53, Greens 4, LNP 27. In doubt: 2 likely ALP (Bass and Preston), 1 still on an actual knife-edge (Pakenham - Libs and ALP now on exactly the same number of votes, 81.5% counted) and Narracan needs a fresh election.