Biden presidency and 2024 election campaign

[David]

[What'sinaname]

The house was always going to controlled by the R. That's still the most likely outcome.

[David]

Most likely, for sure. But it'd be pretty astonishing if it doesn't happen, and there's still a chance of that. Democrats would only need to hold on to the 15 uncalled seats they're leading in and pick up two more (for instance, California-13, where the Republican leads by 0.11%, or Colorado-3, where Republican Lauren Boebert leads by 0.35%).

For context, the only time since 1978 that the party holding the presidency has maintained control of both houses of congress in a midterm election was in 2002, when the Republicans narrowly increased their majorities in the wake of September 11. And you have to go back to 1934 under Roosevelt for the previous time the president's party managed to increase their numbers in both houses, and the time before that was 1818. Blow-outs are much more commonplace than close elections like this one, particularly when you have an unpopular president and the economy isn't going well.

[Jezza]

House results so far:

(-9 seats) Democratic 199-211 Republican (+7 seats)

25 seats outstanding. Need 218 to form a majority.

Senate results so far:

(+1 seat) Democratic 49-49 Republican (-1 seat)

Georgia runoff election will occur on December 6.

Nevada result is still outstanding with 95% counted. The GOP leads by 0.1%.

[Pies4shaw]

^ It's likely Masto will overtake Laxalt in Nevada in counting tonight - what's left are apparently Las Vegas postal votes from districts that strongly favour the Democrats. She needs to win about 55% of the remaining votes and the relevant districts have been going 60/40 her way.

[Pies4shaw]

Here's Laxalt's take on the Nevada Senate race:

Republican Adam Laxalt took to Twitter on Saturday to address the current razor-thin Senate battle between him and Democrat incumbent Catherine Cortez Masto. The Senate race could determine if Democrats retain control. If Laxalt wins, the battle for the chamber will extend into December's runoff race in Georgia.

"Here is where we are -- we are up only 862 votes. Multiple days in a row, the mostly mail in ballots counted continue to break in higher DEM margins than we calculated. This has narrowed our victory window. The race will come down to 20-30K Election Day Clark drop off ballots," Laxalt wrote.

"If they are GOP precincts or slightly DEM leaning then we can still win. If they continue to trend heavy DEM then she will overtake us. Thanks for all the prayers from millions of Nevadans and Americans who hope we can still take back the Senate and start taking our country back."

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/live-up ... d=92681028

He basically agrees with my post, above - so he's probably $@&^#.

[David]

The New York Times has called Nevada for the Democrats, so they’ve kept control of the senate. The Georgia runoff will still be important as a win there means they only need to get the vote of one of Manchin or Sinema to pass legislation as opposed to both.

The House is now 211 R to 204 D, still 20 seats yet to be called.

[roar]

Isn't the real interest of these mid-terms centred around whether the results will encourage Trump to run for Pres in 2024?

[David]

[David]

[David]

Trump has officially announced his candidacy:

https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-amer ... 5bymv.html

[stui magpie]

Scary thought. That his message still resonates with so many people should be ringing alarm bells, particularly because he's proven to be incapable of delivering on it.

Apart from the circus toward the end he didn't do as bad a job as many of his more vocal critics would have you believe, but he shouldn't get a second go now.

FMD, neither Biden or Trump should be remotely electable, they're both well past their best before date. Biden gets lost in his back yard, Trump still has all his faculties but just no.

[eddiesmith]

Would be absolutely hilarious if he got back in though!

[stui magpie]

nah, once was more than enough, it wouldn't be hilarious, it would be a sad indictment on the country in general and the Democrats in particular. They've had ample opportunity to lean why people voted for him.

[doriswilgus]

Trump’s only running because he thinks that being a candidate for President will protect him from the multitude of criminal investigations he’s facing.Wishful thinking on his part,because it won’t make the slightest difference to whether he is prosecuted or not.

The other motivating factor is money.He wants to bilk as much money as possible from his supporters to pay for his enormous legal fees.He did it before with his rediciulous stop the steal campaign which was ostensibly aimed at overturning the election result but was merely a ploy to line his own pockets and pay off his legal fees.

Of course his own supporters were only too happy to oblige and got taken for a ride as they always are.The old saying about a fool and his money are soon parted certainly applies to these gullible people.