Australian federal election 2022

[think positive]

Yeah sorry I read it wrong it was late!

Yes I rented a couple of places when I left home so I’ve seen both sides. I think some people are just pigs! When looking for my eldest house even some if the owner occupied were a mess! And they want a good price! Crazy! I unfortunately have a guilty conscience a mile wide, so I was a very conscientious landlord!

Your right about agents. The 2nd last one, geezus, the managing director asked why I moved, I showed him pictures and texts on my phone as the departing tenant had a crack at me and mentioned the manager. She said the place got broken into through the sliding door. The door wasn’t damaged and we proved in front ofthe agent and a cop that the door could not be lifted off the track, as the old type can. She simply went away for the weekend and left the door unlocked. I showed the MD the texts and said you might want to remind her landlords pays her wage, did us a favour, spent a couple of days cleaning it up and the new manager got us an extra $40 a week! Great tenant. Til covid! The next was ok once I said pay fortnightly. We gave her plenty of time to find something before we put it on the market. Same agent sold the house and our old house, just so professional, I’d recommend them to anyone. They also give me medallion club tickets for Collingwood games!

Carlton men!

[think positive]

Who ever gets in should change the date. It’s time.

And just take that statue down!

Happy day off, now let’s go for an inclusion day.

Well done to Mr Alcott, very deserved.

[David]

Polling looking pretty grim for the government:

https://theconversation.com/newspoll-ha ... vid-175835

In the first Newspoll of 2022, Labor led by 56-44, a three-point gain since the previous Newspoll in early December. Primary votes were 41% Labor (up three), 34% Coalition (down two), 11% Greens (up one), 3% One Nation (steady) and 11% for all Others (down two).

This is Labor’s biggest lead in Newspoll since the aftermath of the August 2018 ousting of Malcolm Turnbull in favour of Scott Morrison as prime minister. But the Coalition recovered to win the May 2019 election, with the final polls inaccurate. So the Coalition is not out of contention for the upcoming election yet.

39% were satisfied with Morrison’s performance (down five), and 58% were dissatisfied (up six), for a net approval of -19, down 11 points. Analyst Kevin Bonham said this was Morrison’s worst net approval since the 2019-20 bushfires (-22 then).

[doriswilgus]

It looks like Morrison’s goose is cooked this time.Yes,I know people will say that the polls were wrong last time and he pulled off a miracle win.But in reality the government’s position is about three times worse now than it was at the same time back in 2019.I don’t think even Murdoch or Clive Palmer’s millions can save Morrison this time.

[#26]

^ If the US drags us into a huge war he might be OK. Incumbents usually do well in elections during times of war.

[stui magpie]

Polls tap into the overall sentiment across a random small group of people.

Elections are generally won or lost with small numbers of people in key seats so polls are unreliable predictors.

Albanese is even less electable than Shorten, so the election will come down to whether enough people in the right places who voted Lib/Nat last time have been pissed off enough by Morrison to change sides.

Having said that, the independents and their preferences will be a big factor as people abandon major parties in droves as will be Palmer.

[eddiesmith]

I can see a minority Labor government being the most likely outcome.

[#26]

Albanese is even less electable than Shorten

Why do you think that?

[David]

[Jezza]

I suspect the path to victory for Labor will come from Western Australia, specifically in the seats of Swan, Hasluck and Pearce. With the borders being closed, campaigning will be hard for Morrison and co in WA.

The inner-city seats concerned with climate change will be another point of interest, which include the following seats.
- Warringah
- Wentworth
- Boothby
- Higgins
- Brisbane
- Kooyong
- Ryan
- Goldstein
- North Sydney

I was reading in the paper on the weekend that the Greens are targeting the seats of Higgins and Ryan, on top of consolidating Melbourne.

The Libs have to win all those inner-city seats + Warringah which they lost to Zali Steggall to have any chance of winning re-election.

I think the Libs are going to lose this time round, or at the very least lose majority government. They had their 1993 moment in the last election, but the "miracle" won't be repeated again.

[David]

[stui magpie]

I read this interesting factoid..

Morrison is the first prime minister to have survived as leader for a full term on either side of politics since John Howard.

How freaking unstable has it been for how long?

[David]

[stui magpie]

But the Australian people aren't used to PM's lasting a full term anymore.

[David]

Neither are politicians, I suspect! I'm guessing many Liberal Party MPs are currently shifting around restlessly, thinking, "isn't there something we're supposed to be doing about now?"