Top 4 predictions (betting thread)

[Skids]

Ladbrokes

[HAL]

Are you still located in it?

[Skids]

Have you looked at the Brownlow odds? If not, guess which Pie is most favoured.

While you're thinking about that, here are the favourites.

TAB: Fyfe, Martin ($6); Dangerfield ($7); Cripps ($9); Kelly ($13).

Okay, here are the Pies (still at TAB):

Beams ($17). Did you guess that right?
Sidebottom ($26).
Treloar ($34).
Grundy ($41).
JdG ($51).
Pendlebury ($51).
Adams ($151).
Phillips ($201).
Moore ($201).
Stephenson ($501).
Cox ($501).


At those odds, my instant reaction is I'd prefer Stephenson to Cox, Moore, Phillips, Adams.

Ladbrokes

Sidey/Beams 20/1
Grundy 33/1
Treloar 40/1
Pendles 80/1
Adams 100/1
Philips 125/1
Cox 1000/1

[K]

Brayshaw was one that caught my eye. I think he was $26 at TAB, or something like that. Prominent in the praccy against us. Placed well last year. His team on the rise... Perhaps a good bet for a placing or top 5 (which I think was $2.50 or something).

[K]

Season handicap:
TAB at $15 == 17% margin
sportsbet == 26% margin
BetEasy == 27% margin
Ladbrokes at $11 == 39% margin

Brownlow:
BetEasy == 39% margin
sportsbet == 40% margin
Ladbrokes == 44% margin
TAB == 46% margin

[TaylorMade]

I don't think a collingwood player can win it this year. I like the chances of cripps coniglio or Omeara

[K]

I guess Coniglio has more chance of winning Charlie than of joining Collingwood.

[Skids]

v The Filth Monday.

Pies $1.18
The 32.5 point line is $1.90
Pies by 1-39 is $2.30. 40+ is $2.20
Pies by 1 - 24 $3.90. 25+ $1.57

1st goal kicker.
Billy $11
Checkers/JT $15
Stevo $17
Cox $19 (Ladbrokes have him @ $13)
Varcs & Treloar $21
Beams $26
Crocker/Steelo/Phillips $34
Mayne $41
Any other player $3.70 (there's 12 filth players in the market as well)

WATAB market.

[K]

I didn't realize they offered bets on that sort of stuff. Then again, they had markets for the AFLX crap.

[Skids]

I didn't realize they offered bets on that sort of stuff. Then again, they had markets for the AFLX crap.

They bet on anything and everything!
SB have a market for where it's going to snow on xmas day.

[TaylorMade]

Hmm what is Ladbrokes odds on DeGoey for Brownlow?

Over 150-1 ???

If he does play mid this year, he will shine. Clearences, possessions and Goals win a brownlow.

That's why top 3 is the best Pendles and Steele can achieve. Treloar and DeGoey will be one of Collingwoods next brownlows. Besides Beams of course. If Beams had remained at Collingwood it is likely that Pendlebury would be in Daynes shadow, like he was to Dane Swan. There is a reason Cameron Ling tagged Swan and not Pendlebury.

[K]

No. $51. Same as TAB & sb.

[K]

Pie-supporting Age journos' predictions:

J. Niall:

1st Richmond West Coast Adelaide Collingwood
5th Greater Western Sydney Melbourne Essendon Geelong
9th Hawthorn North Melbourne Port Adelaide Sydney
13th Western Bulldogs Brisbane Lions Fremantle Carlton
17th St Kilda Gold Coast

M. Gleeson:

1st Richmond West Coast Collingwood Melbourne
5th Greater Western Sydney Adelaide Essendon Geelong
9th Sydney Hawthorn Port Adelaide Western Bulldogs
13th Brisbane Lions North Melbourne Fremantle Carlton
17th St Kilda Gold Coast

G. Baum:

1st Melbourne Adelaide West Coast Richmond
5th Collingwood Greater Western Sydney Essendon North Melbourne
9th Geelong Port Adelaide Western Bulldogs Hawthorn
13th Brisbane Lions Sydney Carlton Fremantle
17th Gold Coast St Kilda

P. Ryan:

1st West Coast Richmond Adelaide Collingwood
5th Melbourne Hawthorn Greater Western Sydney Essendon
9th Geelong Port Adelaide Western Bulldogs Sydney
13th North Melbourne Brisbane Lions Carlton Fremantle
17th St Kilda Gold Coast

[TaylorMade]

2019 AFL Minor PremiershipSat 28 Sep 14:30 TAB

RICHMOND
4.50
COLLINGWOOD
5.50
MELBOURNE
7.00

We were $8 a couple months ago

For Brownlow Treloar is the one, I called it 2 years ago he would finish top 3 brownlow but he came 4th, last year i called Sidey top 3 and he placed, this year i feel Treloar can return to the top 3 in the brownlow ( and possibly win it ). The only thing in his way is the fact that Degoey is a darkhorse for the brownlow if he gets significant time in midfield.

If Degoey is part of the midfield brigade, then there will be too many shared votes among Collingwood players.

[K]

The [TAB] handicaps are:
Ade +6, Bris +14, Carl +32, Coll +4, Ess +6, Fre +20, Geel +8, Haw +10, NM +10, Mel +2, Port +14, Rich +0, StK +24, Syd +10, WC +4, WB +20, GC +48, GWS +10

...
Woo. A change already. All still at 15.00 (& handicaps the same), except Rich, which is now 12.00. Maybe someone loaded up on Rich (the fool ).

A bit strange. They're all back at 15.00 again now, as if the Rich shift never happened.